Friday, June 08, 2007

Newsletter dated 8th June,2007

U.S. stocks tumbled on Thursday as Treasury yields surged above 5 percent, reinforcing fears that global inflation would force borrowing costs to rise. Major indexes posted their biggest three-day drop since February's global equity rout, and their biggest one-day loss in three months. It's the reality of higher interest rates and the specter of what that means, potentially, for M&A activity and also corporate profits. M&A activity has been driving the rally for the past weeks and if the cost of borrowing goes up, it may not make as many deals economic.

The Dow Jones industrial average <.DJI> slid 198.94 points, or 1.48 percent, to end at 13,266.73, with all 30 Dow components finishing in the red. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index <.SPX> lost 26.66 points, or 1.76 percent, to finish at 1,490.72. The Nasdaq Composite Index <.IXIC> dropped 45.80 points, or 1.77 percent, to close at 2,541.38. The three benchmark indexes suffered their biggest one-day percentage losses since March 13. Adding to inflation concerns was a jump in oil prices. U.S. crude settled up 97 cents at $66.93 a barrel.

European shares extended their slide to a fourth consecutive day on Thursday, hit by a rise in bond yields and deepening concerns over the outlook for interest rates in both Europe and the United States. The pan-European FTSEurofirst 300 index <.FTEU3> closed 1.1 percent lower at 1,569.05 points. The benchmark index has lost 3.5 percent over the past four sessions, marking its longest losing streak since a global equities sell-off in late February and early March that was sparked by a sudden sharp drop in Chinese stocks. The trigger is clearly the rise in bond yields and the prospect of further rate hikes in Europe and fading hopes of rate cuts in the U.S.

As history has shown, the equity markets are extremely sensitive to a sustained rise in bond yields, so if they continue to rise it will be pretty tough for equities as you get increasing competition.Increased rate expectations globally have finally started to impact on equity markets, and concerns are starting to build about the impact that rising bond yields will ultimately have on global growth. The Bank of England held UK interest rates at a six-year high of 5.5 percent on Thursday, as expected, one day after the European Central Bank hiked its benchmark rate. Most economists expect the BoE to raise rates again before long. Higher rates translate into higher borrowing costs, hitting corporate profits and curbing M&A activity, one of the main drivers behind European shares' recent bull run. Among Europe's benchmark indexes, London's FTSE 100 dropped 0.27 percent, while France's CAC 40 <.FCHI> lost 1.46 percent, and Frankfurt's DAX <.GDAXI> slipped 1.44 percent.

The Nikkei average fell 1.64 percent on Friday with a broad range of shares down after U.S. and European stocks fell on a rise in bond yields and concerns over the outlook for interest rates in both regions. The Nikkei <.N225> finished the morning down 296.59 points at 17,756.79, and the broader TOPIX index <.TOPX> lost 1.58 percent to 1,751.61. The blue-chip Hang Seng Index <.HSI> had fallen 1.6 percent, after Wall Street slid sharply for a second straight day amid worries that inflation could push up interest rates. All the other Asian markets are down anywhere between 1.5%-2%.

Our markets would not be any exception, atleast in the morning trades. Sensex is likely to open 250-300 points lower following the global markets. Nifty is also likely to open 60-80 points lower. We might witness value buying at lower levels. So dont panic in this fall. Today we will make money by going long. Just see. We should have guts to buy at lower levels.

TOP BUYS.....

1. NIFTY FUTURES around 4080-4090 levels.

2. ONGC (cash) around 825-828 levels

3. RELIANCE INDUSTRIES (cash) around 1615-1618 levels

4. L&T (cash) around 1835-38 levels

5. BIOCON around 420-422


TOP SELLS.....

1. GVK POWER (very risky)

2. FINANCIAL TECH (risky)

3. IPCA LABS

4. BALAJI TELE

5. MPHASIS BFL

6. SADBHAV ENGINEERING

7. CROMPTON GRAVES


Note:-
1. Place appropriate Stop loss below your cost price.
2. Do your own homework before trading.
3. Book profits if you get 3-4% return.

ANURAG DUJARI
Mobile - 09831909904, 09433988791, 09330911514, 09883059291
Messenger ID - anurag130
E-Mail - anurag130@yahoo.com

Disclaimer and Terms of Use: Stock market is subject to risk. High risk high gain is the key to stock market. We are not responsible for any loss or profit associated with stocks mentioned on this site/ by us. Under no circumstances will we be held liable for losses incurred due to information presented anywhere on the site or given through yahoo messenger or SMS. Please do your own research before establishing an equity/ derivatives position in a company. Not all stocks recommended by us are suitable for your investment needs. Carefully evaluate your own risk appetite. Subscription Prices subject to revise whenever required. Subscription Fees once paid cannot be refunded under any circumstances. Any error in this document cannot be claimed by anyone. Technical faults during online calls or SMS cannot be claimed by any of the clients and it’s beyond the limit of the service provider. Due to technical faults, the service might interrupt for short duration and no claim or refund will be entertained. Delay in SMS delivery is not within our limits and its totally mobile operator dependant. The articles on this site are not written by a registered investment advisor. The author may or may not be holding a position in companies that are being analyzed. More likely than not, the author will have an interest in the stock mentioned.The price offer and services are complimentary and subject to revise when and where required. No refund/ No Claims can be entertained once subscription is availed for that period.

Thursday, June 07, 2007

Newsletter dated 7th June,2007

U.S. stocks fell sharply for a second day on Wednesday after data showing higher-than-expected labor costs stoked worries about inflation and interest rates. Rate-sensitive sectors such as utilities and banks also pulled the major indexes lower after an interest-rate hike by the European Central Bank underscored the trend of rising rates. The two-day sell-off in stocks comes just days after the S&P 500 had completed its best two months in nearly four years, leading investors to question whether this could be the start of a long-anticipated pullback. The notion that the Fed is not cutting rates, and long- term interest rates going up, is going to send the market down in the short-term.

The Dow Jones industrial average <.DJI> slid 129.79 points, or 0.95 percent, to end at 13,465.67.The Dow is now down 226.33 points from its lifetime high of 13,692.00 set during the session on June 1. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index <.SPX> tumbled 13.57 points, or 0.89 percent, to 1,517.38, posting its biggest two-day drop since March. The Nasdaq Composite Index <.IXIC> skidded 24.05 points, or 0.92 percent, to close at 2,587.18.

European shares closed lower for a third consecutive day on Wednesday after the European Central Bank raised interest rates, fuelling concerns that further rate hikes might be on the way. Banking stocks weighed on the pan-European FTSEurofirst 300 index <.FTEU3>, which closed 1.59 percent down at 1,586.45 points, its lowest close in a week. This is down to interest rate worries and concern that liquidity could decline in the medium term. But we think this is exaggerated," said Sven Krause, fund manager at LBB Invest. The ECB lifted interest rates to a six-year high of 4 percent and showed its readiness to hike again to curb inflationary pressures in a strongly expanding economy.

Asian markets have reacted to the global markets. They opened lower by 1% in the opening trades but have recovered from their lows, though still in the red. Our markets are also likely to open lower due to global cues and yesterday's weakness. Sensex might open 120-150 points lower and nifty 30-35 points lower but recovery is expected later in the days as our markets have already reacted yesterday with 250 points loss in the Sensex. Look for the levels of 4162 and 4140 for nifty spot. These are support levels for nifty. Dollar has shown strenght to 40.69 which is positive for Tech and export companies. So I would recommend to go long on tech stocks at lower levels. Heavy weights might see bottom fishing at lower levels.

TOP BUYS (at lower levels).....

1. ONGC

2. RELIANCE INDUSTRIES

3. INFOSYS

4. NIIT LTD (dark horse)

5. RPL

6. UNITECH


Note:-
1. Place Stop loss 3-4% below your cost price.
2. Do your own homework before trading.
3. Book profits if you get 2-4% return.

ANURAG DUJARI
Mobile - 09831909904, 09433988791, 09330911514, 09883059291
Messenger ID - anurag130
E-Mail - anurag130@yahoo.com

Disclaimer and Terms of Use: Stock market is subject to risk. High risk high gain is the key to stock market. We are not responsible for any loss or profit associated with stocks mentioned on this site/ by us. Under no circumstances will we be held liable for losses incurred due to information presented anywhere on the site or given through yahoo messenger or SMS. Please do your own research before establishing an equity/ derivatives position in a company. Not all stocks recommended by us are suitable for your investment needs. Carefully evaluate your own risk appetite. Subscription Prices subject to revise whenever required. Subscription Fees once paid cannot be refunded under any circumstances. Any error in this document cannot be claimed by anyone. Technical faults during online calls or SMS cannot be claimed by any of the clients and it’s beyond the limit of the service provider. Due to technical faults, the service might interrupt for short duration and no claim or refund will be entertained. Delay in SMS delivery is not within our limits and its totally mobile operator dependant. The articles on this site are not written by a registered investment advisor. The author may or may not be holding a position in companies that are being analyzed. More likely than not, the author will have an interest in the stock mentioned.The price offer and services are complimentary and subject to revise when and where required. No refund/ No Claims can be entertained once subscription is availed for that period.

Tuesday, June 05, 2007

Newsletter dated 5th June,2007

U.S. stocks rose on Monday, with the Dow and the S&P 500 eking out closing records, as higher energy shares and a fresh round of takeovers offset concerns about a sharp sell-off in Chinese stocks. Energy stocks led the S&P higher as oil climbed above $70 in London on news that a cyclone was headed toward the oil-producing Arabian peninsula with the potential to disrupt supply.

China's domestic stock market fell 8 percent, its fourth straight losing session, following last week's hike in the tax on stock trades. Even so, major Asian markets ended higher, and European markets were only slightly lower on Monday. U.S. stocks fell in early trading, but clawed their way back.

The Standard & Poor's 500 Index <.SPX> gained 2.84 points, or 0.18 percent, to 1,539.18, finishing at a record for the fourth straight session. The Dow Jones industrial average <.DJI> rose 8.21 points, or 0.06 percent, to end at a record 13,676.32.The Nasdaq Composite Index <.IXIC> advanced 4.37 points, or 0.17 percent, to close at 2,618.29.

- The Nikkei rose 0.50 percent on Tuesday with investors buying home builder Sekisui House Ltd. The Nikkei gradually added gains as investors started buying on dips on individual news, pushing up a broad range of stocks. the blue-chip Hang Seng Index <.HSI> was up 0.3 percent, brushing off steep losses in mainland equities <.SHSZ300>.

It would be a difficult day for traders today. We are not finding any direction for the market. As a result it would be a stock specific movement in the market. Sensex might open 30 POINTS +/-. Crude is trading higher. So oil marketing PSUs might trade lower. Rupee is trading at 40.48. So dont trade long on Tech stocks, especially blue-chips tech.

Newsletter dated 4th June,2007

DUE TO SOME TECHNICAL PROBLEM WE ARE UNABLE POST THE NEWSLETTER FOR 4th JUNE,2007. INCONVENIENCE IS REGRETTED.

ANURAG DUJARI
Mobile - 09831909904
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