Wednesday, October 31, 2007

MUDRA PORT IPO - Apply

An Adani Group company, Mundra Port & Special Economic Zone is the developer and operator of Mundra Port. Incidentally, Mundra Port is one of the leading non-captive private sector ports in India based on cargo handled in the year ended March 2007 (FY 2007). Apart from operating the port, the company plans to use surplus land surrounding the port to develop a multipurpose special economic zone (SEZ) spread over 2,658.2 hectares (or about 6,568 acres). The concession period for developing and operating Mundra Port and related facilities is up to February 2031.

Once fully developed, Mundra Port &SEZ will have diverse revenue streams including income from offering port services, value-added logistic service income and lease and rental income from SEZ.

Since commencing operations in October 2001, Mundra Port & SEZ now offers facility to handle dry bulk, liquid/crude and containerised cargo. The port has four terminals. Of these, two are multipurpose terminals for handling solid and a liquid cargo and two container terminals. The company operates the solid- and liquid- cargo terminal as well as container terminal II. Incidentally, container terminal I is operated by a sub-concessionaire: Mundra International Container Terminal (MICT), part of Dubai Port World.

The Mundra port handled cargo of 19.8 million tones in FY 2007, a growth of 69% over FY 2006. In addition, the company also offers value-added port services including railway services. Adani Logistics, in which the company holds 50% stake with the balance held by the promoters, has got licence to operate container rail. Adani Logistics was operating one rail rake in the Delhi-Mundra corridor end September 2007. The company is developing the multipurpose SEZ land for industrial usage and allied social infrastructure.

Mundra Port has wide range of third-party customers that operate at or use the port, including the container sub-concessionaire MICT and the Indian Railways. Indian Oil Corporation, Indian Farmers Fertilisers Cooperative, Food Corporation of India and some of the Adani Group companies such as Adani Enterprises and Adani Wilmar are the major users of the port services. Strategic arrangement with the Indian Railways and MICT allows Mundra Port & SEZ to get revenue share for the infrastructure created by it. To connect Mundra Port with the Indian Railways network, the company has laid the Mundra-Adipur railway track and gets a share of the revenue on the cargo moved on this track. Similar revenue-sharing agreement is in place for the private container terminal operation at the port.

Mundra Port & SEZ intends to use the proceeds of the issue for
1) construction and development of basic infrastructure and related facilities in the proposed SEZ at Mundra and surrounding areas
2) construction and development of terminal for coal and other cargo at Mundra Port
3) investing in Adani Petronet (Dahej) Port
4) investing in Adani Logistics’s container business and
5) investing in Inland Conware ‘s inland container depot business.

Estimated fund requirement is about Rs 3160 crore. This covers Rs 700 crore for development of SEZ, Rs 2000 crore for coal terminal project, Rs 255 crore for Adani Petronet (Dahej) Port, Rs 49 crore for Adani Logistic, and Rs 156 crore for Inland Conware. Mundra Port & SEZ has already deployed Rs 174 crore. About Rs 1200 crore will be financed by debt, Rs 350 crore through internal accruals and the balance from the IPO proceeds.


Strengths
Mundra Port is an operational port with natural draft depth in the range of 15-32 meters at a short distance from shore, enabling it to handle large-sized future generation vessels. There are no major ports in India, either in the public or the private sector, with such a huge natural draft depth. As a result, only Mundra port is currently able to handle large new generation ships such as container liners of up to 8,000 twenty-foot equivalent units (TEUs) and modern capesize vessels (ships).

Port congestion in competing peer ports in the northern part of the western coast gives a natural advantage to Mundra Port. It currently has relatively lower congestion. The distance to northern hinterland is also shorter. This provides Mundra Port a strong growth opportunity.

Railways and roadways are important links for transportation of goods to and from any port to the cargo centres. Strong port connectivity by both rail and road; access to hinterland; and operational efficiency compared with its peers on the west coast, specially in Gujarat and Maharashtra, give an edge to Mundra Port in attracting cargo. With a capability of handling large bulk cargo vessels of more than 50,000 dead weight tonnage (DWT) equipped to handle approximately 20,000 tonnes of bulk cargo per day, the port’s vessel turnaround time was as low at 2.4 days in the quarter ended June 2007. Similarly, the vessel turnaround time at Container Terminal I stood at 14.5 hours, close to the average vessel turnaround time of 13 hours in leading ports in Asia, in the 15 months up to June 2007.

Strategic relationship with customers through long-term contracts assures stable cargo traffic and regular cash flow. Mundra Port & SEZ has long-term contracts with Indian Oil Corporation for providing port services. Similar agreement has also been inked with Guru Gobind Singh Refinery (GGSRL), a subsidiary of Hindustan Petroleum Corporation (HPCL), for single-point morring facilities and 310 acres of land for a crude-oil terminal at Mundra. Similar long-term port service agreements have been signed with Tata Power and Adani Power.

Mundra Port &SEZ is setting up a coal-handling jetty with a capacity of 30 million tonnes per annum to take care of the coal imports of about 22 million tonnes required by the Mundra ultra mega power plant (UMPP) of Tata Power and the 2,640-MW Mundra power project of Adani Power.

The around 15,665 acres of land that is owned by Mundra Port & SEZ includes the development and usage rights granted for 3,404 acres around Mundra Port under concession agreement for 30 years. Further, it also includes 2,658.2 hectares (or about 6,568 acres) of area notified as SEZ. In addition, it also has approximately 4,000 metres of undeveloped waterfront land it can utilised in growing its own port operations.
Freedom in fixing tariff is one of the major advantages enjoyed by Mundra Port & SEZ when compared with other major ports in the country that take orders from the Tariff Authority for Major Ports.


Weakness
MICT, the private operator of Container Terminal I, is contesting the operation of the second container terminal, citing the non-compete clause in the framework agreement with the private operator. The injunction sought by MICT was quashed by the city civil court. It ruled the framework agreement has been superceded by the subsequent sub-concession agreement between the parties. The matter has now been referred to arbitration by MICT. The private operator has also filed an appeal against the order of the city civil court in the high court at Ahmedabad. If the judgement is not favourable, assets will have to be transferred to MICT at consideration lower than the cost incurred by container terminal II under the frame work agreement. The non-compete clause, which will have to be adhered, will restrict operations.

The incremental growth in cargo handling was from Food Corporation of India’s (FCI) grain imports in FY 2007. FCI cargo accounts about 27% of the total bulk cargo handled by the port in FY 2007. The type and quantity of cargo largely depends on the government of India’s grain import-export policy.

Proactive steps by the Gujarat government and neighboring states such as Maharashtra in privatising minor ports could increase competition.

Since the SEZ Act came into place, a large number of SEZs have been approved. Gujarat had granted approvals for 29 SEZs as of 3 October 2007. This will heightened competition for potential investors.

The Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) has prohibited the promoters of Adani Exports --- Adani Agro, Adani Impex, Crown International, Shahi Property Developers, Adani Properties, Advance Exports and International India --- from accessing the capital market and trading in securities for aiding and abetting entities associated with Ketan Parekh in manipulating the prices of equity share of Adani Enterprises. The Securities Appeal Tribune has stayed Sebi’s order. The matter is now up for hearing on 18 December 2007. Sebi has also filed a criminal complaint against Adani Enterprises and its promoters including Rajesh S Adani for executing offmarket deals.


Valuation
Income from operation grew at a CAGR of 51% from Rs 167.67 crore in FY 2004 to Rs 579.74 crore in FY 2007. Net profit was Rs 192.11 crore in FY 2007. EPS on post-issue equity of Rs 400.68 crore is Rs 4.7. P/E at the price band of Rs 400-440 work out at 85.1 and 93.6 times. There is no comparable player with presence in port and SEZ.

Mundra Port &SEZ has a double advantage of an operator of a functioning port as well as a developer of SEZ. Given the current craze for infrastructure projects, the long-term growth potential is likely to get discounted in the price well in advance and one may not need to go through the operational and regulatory uncertainties and gestation period that such large projects normally entail.


Recommendation
Investors must apply for MUDRA PORT ipo at cut-off, preferably for 225 shares. It is an excellent issue. Grey market premium is around 340-345 as of today which seems quite handsome.

reference:- capitalmarket.com

ANURAG DUJARI
Mobile - 09831909904
Messenger ID - anurag130
E-Mail - anurag130@yahoo.com

Disclaimer and Terms of Use: Stock market is subject to risk. High risk high gain is the key to stock market. We are not responsible for any loss or profit associated with stocks mentioned on this site/ by us. Under no circumstances will we be held liable for losses incurred due to information presented anywhere on the site or given through yahoo messenger or SMS. Please do your own research before establishing an equity/ derivatives position in a company. Not all stocks recommended by us are suitable for your investment needs. Carefully evaluate your own risk appetite. Subscription Prices subject to revise whenever required. Subscription Fees once paid cannot be refunded under any circumstances. Any error in this document cannot be claimed by anyone. Technical faults during online calls or SMS cannot be claimed by any of the clients and it’s beyond the limit of the service provider. Due to technical faults, the service might interrupt for short duration and no claim or refund will be entertained. Delay in SMS delivery is not within our limits and its totally mobile operator dependant. The articles on this site are not written by a registered investment advisor. The author may or may not be holding a position in companies that are being analyzed. More likely than not, the author will have an interest in the stock mentioned.The price offer and services are complimentary and subject to revise when and where required. No refund/ No Claims can be entertained once subscription is availed for that period.

Monday, October 29, 2007

RELIGARE IPO - Apply

Business : Incorporated in 1984, Religare Enterprises is the holding company of its 11 business subsidiaries. Each of its subsidiaries is engaged in a wide spectrum of financial products and services targeted at retail, high-net worth individuals, corporate and institutional clients. The services offered by the group include share broking, financing loans against shares, IPO financing, distribution of mutual funds, insurance broking, commodity broking, wealth management advisory business, private equity, merchant banking and trading in arts and artifacts among others.

However, most of its subsidiaries are less than a year old and yet to commence business. The major revenue drivers for the company are its retail equity broking arm Religare Securities and Religare Finvest, which finances loans against shares. The two accounted for more than 90% of the Religare consolidated revenues in FY07.

Growth Strategy : Religare Enterprises is currently present in 392 cities and towns through its network of 1,217 branches. Out of these, the company owns a third, while the remaining centres are owned and managed by franchisees. The company aims to utilise the proceeds of the issue to further expand its geographical presence both in the domestic and international markets that include West Asia and Western Europe. It also plans to use the issue proceeds to significantly enhance its online trading capabilities.

Its wealth advisory arm — Religare Wealth Management Services — recently entered into a 50:50 joint venture with the Australian based Macquarie Bankto offer wealth management services. If the venture clicks, given the rising income and wealth of India’s upper middle class, it may turn out to be a major growth driver for the company.

Financials : Starting from a small base, the company has shown rapid topline and bottomline growth in the past few years. During FY07, the company’s net profit more than doubled to Rs 25 crore against Rs 11 crore during FY06. Net sales during the period jumped 10 times to Rs 320 crore from Rs 31 crore. The growth momentum continued during the first six months of FY08. Net profit during April-September ’07 grew to Rs 36 crore while revenues jumped to Rs 308 crore.

Growth has been fuelled by a boom in the stock market, which has pushed up equity trading volumes to a new high. However, growth has been accompanied by an equally fast rise in its debtors and receivables. In the first half, the company’s debt nearly doubled to Rs 514 crore while loans and advances is up by over 140% over the FY07 to to Rs 1,414 crore.

It reported negative cash flows of Rs 535 crore during the first half of FY08. The company, however, says that this is not a cause for concern as its average collection period (debt) is quick and the loans are mainly against shares that can be liquidated in case of default by clients.

Religare Enterprises , a Ranbaxy promoter group company, aims to raise up to Rs 140 crore by issuing 75.76 lakh shares with a face value of Rs 10 each. The issue represents 10% of the post-issue equity of the company. The shares will be offered via book-building in the price band of Rs 160-185 per share.


Valuations : At the lower price band, the company is valued at 17 times its FY08 estimated earning per share (EPS) of Rs 9.6 and at the upper band the price-to-earnings ratio is 19.4 times. This is more or less at par with its peers and the company looks fully priced at its upper price band.

Though it does not have a long record of spectacular performances, it has grown at a phenomenal rate in the past six quarters. If it is able to maintain the momentum, the stock is a good buy at the offer price. Moreover, many of its subsidiaries are yet to commence business and it remains to be seen how they perform in the forthcoming quarters.

Risks : The nature of business is highly susceptible to the growth in the equity market. Also, the existence of a number of well-established players in the industry is expected to make it difficult for the company to create a niche for itself

Source:- economictimes

ANURAG DUJARI

Mobile – 09831909904

Messenger ID – anurag130

E-Mail – anurag130@yahoo.com

Disclaimer and Terms of Use: Stock market is subject to risk. High risk high gain is the key to stock market. We are not responsible for any loss or profit associated with stocks mentioned on this site/ by us. Under no circumstances will we be held liable for losses incurred due to information presented anywhere on the site or given through yahoo messenger or SMS. Please do your own research before establishing an equity/ derivatives position in a company. Not all stocks recommended by us are suitable for your investment needs. Carefully evaluate your own risk appetite. Subscription Prices subject to revise whenever required. Subscription Fees once paid cannot be refunded under any circumstances. Any error in this document cannot be claimed by anyone. Technical faults during online calls or SMS cannot be claimed by any of the clients and it’s beyond the limit of the service provider. Due to technical faults, the service might interrupt for short duration and no claim or refund will be entertained. Delay in SMS delivery is not within our limits and its totally mobile operator dependant. The articles on this site are not written by a registered investment advisor. The author may or may not be holding a position in companies that are being analyzed. More likely than not, the author will have an interest in the stock mentioned.The price offer and services are complimentary and subject to revise when and where required. No refund/ No Claims can be entertained once subscription is availed for that period.

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